Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.048280 0.057309 0.067452 0.079677 0.093997 0.110224 0.129994
2025-04-20 0.034830 0.046521 0.061164 0.080787 0.106324 0.138358 0.181511
2025-04-27 0.026885 0.039404 0.056476 0.081316 0.116369 0.163875 0.232918
2025-05-04 0.021661 0.034313 0.052836 0.081685 0.125194 0.187998 0.285064
2025-05-11 0.018145 0.030762 0.050406 0.082857 0.134670 0.213597 0.342122
2025-05-18 0.015845 0.028541 0.049420 0.085754 0.146758 0.244165 0.410173
2025-05-25 0.013044 0.024892 0.045418 0.082940 0.148985 0.259197 0.455176
2025-06-01 0.011237 0.022615 0.043287 0.082815 0.155441 0.281566 0.514590
2025-06-08 0.009629 0.020384 0.040833 0.081631 0.159686 0.300410 0.569885
2025-06-15 0.008677 0.019247 0.040196 0.083654 0.169921 0.330828 0.649102
2025-06-22 0.007549 0.017535 0.038155 0.082596 0.174054 0.350389 0.710342
2025-06-29 0.006491 0.015773 0.035723 0.080345 0.175438 0.364741 0.763057
2025-07-06 0.005521 0.014048 0.033136 0.077471 0.175347 0.376565 0.813043
2025-07-13 0.005012 0.013309 0.032590 0.078953 0.184668 0.408487 0.907645
2025-07-20 0.004509 0.012485 0.031718 0.079557 0.192133 0.437386 0.999254
2025-07-27 0.004058 0.011704 0.030814 0.079937 0.199110 0.465989 1.093417
2025-08-03 0.003704 0.011111 0.030270 0.081089 0.208004 0.499752 1.202657
2025-08-10 0.003471 0.010806 0.030400 0.083928 0.221288 0.544844 1.342369
2025-08-17 0.003014 0.009771 0.028461 0.081171 0.220446 0.557231 1.407918
2025-08-24 0.002723 0.009165 0.027574 0.081049 0.226219 0.585858 1.514964
2025-08-31 0.002429 0.008487 0.026374 0.079889 0.229133 0.607854 1.608338
2025-09-07 0.002272 0.008219 0.026303 0.081871 0.240663 0.652438 1.762315
2025-09-14 0.002039 0.007646 0.025237 0.080834 0.243816 0.676142 1.866105